Tesla is stuck between a rock and a hard place, and the path going forward is likely mean reversion, price gravitating around the monthly mode area that sits below, with very well defined upper and lower barriers keeping price range bound for a while. Current short term setup is a short if price breaks into new lows on Monday pretty much, and we can already figure out the target for such action, but I would venture a guess that price needs to coil sideways next, before rallying higher over time, given fundamentals. I am cautious these days and rather trade swings, than try to hold long term positions stubbornly though. So, if you followed my last idea suggesting TSLA was going through the last down swing before a bottom, now would be a decent time to secure gains or at least sell calls against holdings. Many ways to skin a cat, in this case the cat of volatility dampening. On the topic of guesswork, my long term guess for TSLA was something like this, which I did when I talked about the first daily buy signal near 125.72: The longest term trend in TSLA has expired already, so we should expect sideways and volatile action for 8 half-year bars, that's a long a$$ time... Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
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I scalped a short and banked it already: Dropped as expected, I will keep an eye on the stock, for now not trading it again.
Not the most familiar approach you take, but it was nice to see how you think through the publication. Thanks for your work, absolutely supportive!
IvanLabrie
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@TradingBrokersView thanks! I'm glad to be of help or make people think outside the box
TradingShot
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Thank you for sharing your analysis with our community.
IvanLabrie
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@TradingShot welcome! hopefully the short term set up triggers, would be a low risk trade. General mid and long term view is likely to work. just try to find low risk reversal entries to trade swings for a few days/weeks
redapple2017
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Oh noooo not 8 years sideways :(
IvanLabrie
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@redapple2017 would be like 4, give or take. but the swings will be tradeable!