Time Warner MA 200:50 Death Cross happening?

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Time Warner             MA 200:50 Death Cross - when will it be confirmed?
Judging by RSI and UO (on daily), it looks like one of two things can happen here on TWC.

Price can slow down (either move sideways or slowly fall) until UO crosses @ the 50 and MACD is crossed.
That would signal continued downtrend and price would fall for a bit (until RSI hits oversold @ 30).
I'm thinking around $120.

Price can do the same as above and then bounce off of the same UO/MACD cross and then bounce upward again.
Only reason I see this is due to a partial ascending triangle pattern.
Could possibly be more of a broadening wedge, which would likely end up in reversal downward past $130 lows.

Either way, TWC has to break through this oscillation pattern but it doesn't look promising to be in positive gains IMHO.
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