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TanukiTrade
May 3, 2021 8:08 PM

Long call vertical spread for Twitter 55% PoP Long

Twitter, Inc.NYSE

Description

Fib 0.78 hit after event, trendline kissed 4 times:



4hr / 1hr TF in oversold territory



Max profit: $500
Probability of Profit: 55%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 56%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$200


Req. Buy Power: $882 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 5.5 (relative low)
Expiry: 46 days


Buy 2 TWTR Jun18' 48 Call
Sell 2 TWTR Jun18' 55 Call

Debit Call spread for 4.41db each, because IVR is relative low.


Stop/my risk management: Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the 52.5$ breakeven line, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 200$. Probability of loss in this way: ~25% .

Take profit strategy: 60% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 6.1cr each. Probability of profit this way: ~75%.

Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!



If you liked this article, check my other ideas.

Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW, and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview!

Comment

Today increased my position.

Comment

Green dildo pulled back the close price into support zone.
RSI Oversold at all

Comments
hosungw58
I had the same thought and got on it. You just made is confirmation bias, and I like that
TanukiTrade
@hosungw58, agree confirmation would great, otherwise just other cowbowing shit trade.
sundeepjanagam
Good Analysis. I will take one tomorrow using long Call vertical spread
TanukiTrade
@sundeepjanagam, thank you, wish you the best!
jeatki
i like the analysis and the trade. a solid directional play.
I'll buy one tomorrow.
TanukiTrade
@jeatki, Thank you for the appreciative words. I hope tomorrow coming some bottom formation, then I will expanding my position too.
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