Brent Oil (UKOIL) — H1 Formation of a Potential Wave 3 + T

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Brent (UKOIL) — H1 Formation of a Potential Wave 3 + Trendline Break (Bullish Continuation)

🔎 Market Structure (H1)

On the H1 timeframe, Brent has formed the technical conditions for the development of a potential Wave 3 to the upside, confirmed by:

a breakout above the corrective trendline (structure shift)

completion of the pullback phase (Wave 2) after the initial impulsive leg

rebound from the local support zone with signs of acceleration

recovery of bullish structure after the corrective decline

This setup fits a classic Elliott Wave continuation model, where Wave 3 begins after Wave 2 completes and price exits the corrective structure.

📐 Elliott Wave Context

Wave 1: initial impulsive move up (trend initiation)

Wave 2: corrective retracement / consolidation into support

Wave 3: expected impulsive expansion higher (current scenario)

📌 Key principle:
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the low of Wave 1.

📍 Entry

Entry: 92.137

The entry is positioned:

above the broken trendline (breakout confirmation zone)

inside the impulse activation area after correction completion

aligned with continuation momentum rather than chasing extension

🎯 Target Levels (Wave 3 Projections)

Targets are derived from projected impulse expansion zones and key reaction levels:

TP1: 101.909

TP2: 106.217

TP3: 112.847

TP4: 126.503

Each target represents a potential reaction zone and a logical level for partial profit-taking during Wave 3 development.

🛑 Invalidation / Stop Loss

Stop Loss: 81.149

📍 The stop is placed below the low of Wave 1, which:

invalidates the Wave 3 bullish scenario if breached

signals a deeper correction / structure failure

protects against a false breakout and reversal

🧠 Risk & Trade Management

Trend-following setup
Wave 3 can accelerate quickly once momentum expands.

Recommended approach:

partial profits at TP1 / TP2

move stop to breakeven after clean impulsive continuation is confirmed

avoid increasing risk during choppy pullbacks

scaling is preferable only on pullbacks that hold above the broken trendline as support

📌 Summary

Brent on H1 shows a corrective trendline breakout and structural conditions for a potential Wave 3 continuation to the upside.
The bullish scenario remains valid above 81.149, with upside targets at 101.909 → 106.217 → 112.847 → 126.503.

Disclaimer

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