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OPEC preview: What to expect of Brent oil?

TVC:UKOIL   Crude Oil (Brent)
OPEC: Stakes are high

The OPEC will try to reach an output deal in order to raise prices. The meeting has been rescheduled to 9 GMT             from 10 GMT             .

It is far from clear whether the Cartel will succeed. It was agreed in principle in September to restrict production, but now Saudi is asking other members… especially Iran and Iraq to accept deep production cuts. Iran isn’t ready to so do and neither is Iraq.

Stakes are high because OPEC’s credibility is at risk. This is the third time over the last one year that the Cartel is working to reach a deal. A successful deal could lead to a five dollar pop as said by Gaurav Sharma, Oil             Analyst at IB             Times on our Finance Show on Monday. On the other hand, failure to reach a deal could lead to a fresh sell-off to $42-40 levels.

Technicals

On the daily chart we see a rising channel inside a larger sideways channel.

The rising channel was breached on Nov 1. An attempt to reenter the same failed on Nov 23.

The channel resistance is seen at 50.43, while on the lower side, breach of yesterday’s low of 45.90 would open doors for a test of sideways channel support around $43.87.
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