Crude prices continue their steady rise as the Brent crude benchmark is trading close to $77.40 per barrel. The July high is at $77.84 per barrel, well within arm’s reach. The rise in crude prices continues for the fourth consecutive day as investors digest the recent damages to the U.S. oil industry caused by two recent hurricanes.
The damages were confirmed by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) data that showed a decline of crude reserves to 414 million barrels, a record low since October 2018. This week EIA recorded a drop of oil reserves by 3.5 million barrels or 0.8%, and this is the seventh week of declines in the row.
As I said before, Brent crude oil has a potential to rise to $82 per barrel if we consider the height of the downward channel to be the price that has been broken through recently. A decline of prices to $73.26 per barrel was just a test of the new support level that was formerly a resistance level.
So, we may say that further hikes in prices is quite possible even if prices are at record highs for several months. However, we may have a short-term correction to the area of $76.50-76.60 per barrel, where the support level of the upward trend from September 21 is located.
Anyway, any correction now is a good chance to open buy positions. Moreover, if we look at the monthly timeframe we may find a “triple tweezers” candlestick pattern at $65-67 per barrel. Such a pattern indicates a high possibility for the bullish trend to continue. Oil may surge to $90 a barrel if the approaching winter in the northern hemisphere proves colder than normal, said Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Tightening gas supplies in Europe will elevate demand for oil as an alternative at a time when global crude output is constrained, Currie said during a Bloomberg Television interview on Wednesday. Post-hurricane disruptions in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico were among the worldwide factors he cited.
Backer Hughes oil rigs count report may affect crude prices later on Friday after the company has reported active rigs at 512 including oil rigs at 411 units as of September 17.
The damages were confirmed by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) data that showed a decline of crude reserves to 414 million barrels, a record low since October 2018. This week EIA recorded a drop of oil reserves by 3.5 million barrels or 0.8%, and this is the seventh week of declines in the row.
As I said before, Brent crude oil has a potential to rise to $82 per barrel if we consider the height of the downward channel to be the price that has been broken through recently. A decline of prices to $73.26 per barrel was just a test of the new support level that was formerly a resistance level.
So, we may say that further hikes in prices is quite possible even if prices are at record highs for several months. However, we may have a short-term correction to the area of $76.50-76.60 per barrel, where the support level of the upward trend from September 21 is located.
Anyway, any correction now is a good chance to open buy positions. Moreover, if we look at the monthly timeframe we may find a “triple tweezers” candlestick pattern at $65-67 per barrel. Such a pattern indicates a high possibility for the bullish trend to continue. Oil may surge to $90 a barrel if the approaching winter in the northern hemisphere proves colder than normal, said Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Tightening gas supplies in Europe will elevate demand for oil as an alternative at a time when global crude output is constrained, Currie said during a Bloomberg Television interview on Wednesday. Post-hurricane disruptions in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico were among the worldwide factors he cited.
Backer Hughes oil rigs count report may affect crude prices later on Friday after the company has reported active rigs at 512 including oil rigs at 411 units as of September 17.
Trade closed: target reached
