Ulta Beauty, Inc.
Long

QuantSignals V3 ULTA: Post-Earnings Upside

61
ULTA QuantSignals V3 Earnings — 2025-12-04

Earnings Signal: BUY CALLS | Confidence: 68%
Expiry: 2025-12-05 (1-day)
Strike Focus: $537.50 | Entry Range: $18.10
Target 1: $25.95 | Target 2: $34.60
Stop Loss: $12.67 | Implied Move: $37.95 (7.1%)
24h Move: +2.50%
Flow Intel: Neutral | PCR 0.82

⚠️ Moderate Risk Warning: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence level.
Earnings Date: 2025-12-04 | Estimate: N/A

Trade Recommendation

Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 68%
Conviction Level: MEDIUM

Analysis Summary

Katy AI Signal: Bullish bias, predicted move to ~$540.50 (+1% from $535.15), multiple peaks above $550 (+3.12%).

Technical Analysis: Pre-earnings momentum +2.50% in 24h, elevated volume 1.8x average. Price range $516.03–$558.61; support at $527.13, resistance at $558.61.

News Sentiment: Positive analyst coverage, ULTA 100% earnings beat history, strong long-term performance narrative.

Options Flow: Neutral PCR 0.82, unusual $602 call activity. High IV 172.5% signals post-earnings volatility.

Risk Level: MEDIUM — high IV increases premium cost but technical and fundamental setup supports upside.

Trade Setup

Expiry Date: 2025-12-05

Strike: $537.50 | Delta: 0.498

Entry Price: $17.30–$18.90

Target 1: $25.95 (50% gain)

Target 2: $34.60 (100% gain)

Stop Loss: $12.67 (30% loss)

Position Size: 2% of portfolio

Competitive Edge

Katy AI signals precise post-earnings upward trajectory.

ULTA’s 100% earnings beat history provides strong directional confidence.

Tight stop (30%) and balanced delta protect against IV crush while optimizing risk/reward.

Important Notes

High IV (172.5%) → rapid theta decay; strictly 1-day hold only.

Monitor pre-market movement to confirm Katy’s $540.50 target.

Position size limited due to single-day expiry and earnings volatility.

Trade Details

Instrument: ULTA

Direction: CALL (LONG)

Entry Price: $18.10

Profit Target: $25.95

Stop Loss: $12.67

Expiry: 2025-12-05

Size: 2% of portfolio

Confidence: 68%

Signal Time: 2025-12-04 14:46:14 EST

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