Thesis
UNH has completed its corrective ABC structure and is stabilizing within Wave 2, offering long-term accumulation opportunities in a proven cash-flow compounder.
Context
- Daily and weekly timeframes
- Deep corrective phase already completed
- Long-term uptrend remains intact on the weekly chart
- Dividend-paying, high free-cash-flow defensive name
What I see
- Yesterday’s selloff was headline-driven, not structural
- Price is holding inside the Wave 2 retracement zone
- Volatility is shaking out weak hands, not breaking structure
- This behavior is typical at the end of corrective phases
- I added to my long-term position yesterday, bringing my average into the $270s
What matters now
- The priority is stabilization and base-building
- A reclaim of the 50-day MA improves short-term structure
- Reclaiming the 200-day MA confirms the next impulsive leg
- Gap-filling narratives are noise, not a strategy
Buy / Accumulation zone
- Accumulation remains valid inside the current Wave 2 range
- I have no issue adding again once price stabilizes
- Risk is defined against the recent correction lows
Targets
- First major structural reference: 200-week MA near $460
- Wave 3 target remains the 1.618 Fib extension around $540
- Dividend yield (~2.6%) pays while waiting
Execution note
- This game isn’t for everyone — pressure exposes conviction
- I added at $250 and $240 when sentiment was darkest
- Buffett added at higher prices, yet fear returned instantly
-
UNH is my current safe-haven: strong FCF, cash-rich, defensive
This is a 3–5 year hold for me, not a short-term trade
Context
- Daily and weekly timeframes
- Deep corrective phase already completed
- Long-term uptrend remains intact on the weekly chart
- Dividend-paying, high free-cash-flow defensive name
What I see
- Yesterday’s selloff was headline-driven, not structural
- Price is holding inside the Wave 2 retracement zone
- Volatility is shaking out weak hands, not breaking structure
- This behavior is typical at the end of corrective phases
- I added to my long-term position yesterday, bringing my average into the $270s
What matters now
- The priority is stabilization and base-building
- A reclaim of the 50-day MA improves short-term structure
- Reclaiming the 200-day MA confirms the next impulsive leg
- Gap-filling narratives are noise, not a strategy
Buy / Accumulation zone
- Accumulation remains valid inside the current Wave 2 range
- I have no issue adding again once price stabilizes
- Risk is defined against the recent correction lows
Targets
- First major structural reference: 200-week MA near $460
- Wave 3 target remains the 1.618 Fib extension around $540
- Dividend yield (~2.6%) pays while waiting
Execution note
- This game isn’t for everyone — pressure exposes conviction
- I added at $250 and $240 when sentiment was darkest
- Buffett added at higher prices, yet fear returned instantly
-
This is a 3–5 year hold for me, not a short-term trade
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
