UNI / TetherUS
Long

UNI/USDT at Critical Support — Accumulation or Breakdown?

208
UNI/USDT is currently trading on the Weekly (1W) timeframe and remains within a broad range following a prolonged downtrend from its historical peak. Price has returned to test a key demand zone (yellow box 5.2 – 4.3), which has acted as a strong historical support since 2022.

The current market structure reflects compression and re-accumulation, indicating that UNI is positioned at a critical decision area for medium- to long-term price direction.


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Key Levels & Zones

Major Demand / Accumulation Zone: 5.2 – 4.3 (yellow zone – critical support)

Intermediate Resistance: 6.3 – 7.15

Major Resistance: 10.9

Upper Resistance / Bullish Target: 18.35

ATH Reference: 45.00



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Pattern & Structure Explanation

1. Ascending Support Trendline (Weekly)
A clear rising trendline can be observed from the 2022 → 2023 → 2024 lows. Price is still holding above this trendline, keeping the higher-low structure intact.


2. Range Accumulation (Wyckoff-like Structure)
Since 2023, price has been moving sideways within a broad range. The yellow zone acts as a Spring / Last Point of Support (LPS).


3. Long Wick Rejection
Strong lower-wick rejections indicate active buyers defending the demand zone.




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Bullish Scenario

As long as price holds above the 5.2 – 4.3 zone, the bullish scenario remains valid.

Bullish confirmation strengthens if:

Weekly close holds above 5.2

Break and close above 6.3 – 7.15


Bullish Targets:

1. 7.15 (minor range high)


2. 10.90 (major resistance)


3. 18.35 (upper range / supply zone)



A breakout above 10.9 could shift the structure into a macro bullish continuation.


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Bearish Scenario

The bearish scenario activates if:

A strong weekly close below 4.3

Breakdown of the ascending support trendline


Bearish implications:

Higher-low structure fails

Potential continuation toward 3.5 – 3.0

In extreme conditions, a revisit of 2.0 – 2.5


A breakdown of the yellow zone would signal failed accumulation and bearish continuation.


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Conclusion

UNI/USDT is currently trading at a major long-term decision zone.
The 5.2 – 4.3 area remains the key level to watch:

Holding the zone → potential reversal and upside expansion

Losing the zone → bearish continuation


The market has not yet confirmed direction, making weekly candle confirmation critical before taking aggressive positions.


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