Unemployment rate below Bollinger Band hard to keep rithm

FRED:UNRATE   Civilian Unemployment Rate
118 0 1
Tomorrow will be published the highly expected NFPR and unemployment rate, we are almost about the rate that FED had signaled before December as a threshold for keep the rates ultra-low, even when now this guys have declared the rates will keep ultra-low well long after the the 6.5% had been breached the rate of unemployment still a significant measure (the best that they could have now) to watch.
Technically as you can see the rate hardly can keep bellow the 2 standard deviations from the 20 months moving average, so i think the chances to keep the pace of recovery in the labor market are slim.
This is important because a pullback of several months in the unemployment rate could lead a pause or at least a reduction in the pace of tampering of the QE which probably could have an important impact in the value of the dollar, equity markets and bonds.
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