Nasdaq (NDX) closed yesterday on a red 1D candle, with the 1D RSI above the 70.00 overbought barrier, but remains within the (dashed) Channel Up, as well as supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since November 03 2023.
Based on the 1D RSI which is within a Megaphone pattern, we might be approaching a peak similar to July 19 2023, whose RSI was also inside a Megaphone on almost the same levels as now. Following the peak, the price declined initially by -8.50%. Since the start of the year the other two major declines have been around -9.50%.
This suggests that if the index reverses around next week (Fed Rate Decision), we are technically aiming for 16200, which will put to a test Support 2 and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which made the bottom on the first -9.50% decline of last year on March 13.
The confirmation signal for atleast a short-term sell, can be when the index breaks the 1D MA50. Also, currently, the downside potential can be as low as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which by its current course can make contact with the price around Support 3 (15700). The 1D MA200 has been untouched for more than 10 months (since March 13 2023).
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **