US 100

NASDAQ Testing 1 month Resistance. Break or rejection?

660
Nasdaq (NDX) has been on a Higher Lows uptrend since the November 21 2025 bottom but following the December 05 high, it has failed to break above that 25830 Resistance (1) on 5 tests. Today it is attempting it for the 6th time.

A break and 1D candle closing above Resistance 1 then, will confirm the bullish break-out of that Ascending Triangle and transitioning into a Channel Up. If it maintains a high symmetry with the first one (+4.31%) then we expect to see 26150, falling just below Resistance 2 (26260) and the All Time High.

If however the price gets rejected again on Resistance 1 (close a candle below it), the minimum Target would be the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 25450, falling just above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, which is the level that all Higher Lows since November 21 approached.

It has to be noted at this point that the 1D RSI is now hitting the Lower Highs trend-line that started on September 22 2025. If rejected here again, the market will confirm a huge Bearish Divergence that can shift the long-term trend to bearish.

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