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Kumowizard
Jan 31, 2019 11:08 AM

Follow the FED! US curve steepener can be THE Trade for 2019 

US10Y-US05YTVC

Description

FED monetary policy approach has changed.

Technicals are changing too.

My flagship trade for 2019 is the US 5/10 steepener. You have to buy ZF vs selling ZN.
For those who are real traders and not paper trading, risk adjusted weighten between the March ZF and ZN contracts is 1,59 : 1. This means you need to buy 8 ZF vs selling 5 ZN.

As we are basically bullish for bonds in general, and technically we prefer buying 5y outright too, those who would like to run some outright risk may do so by selling Less 10y (ZN) futures against their 5y (ZF) longs. Me personally I do 2,66 : 1 ratio.

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