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RealMacro
Dec 3, 2021 7:14 PM

Rapidly Heading For Recession Signal Short

US10Y/US02YTVC

Description

The lower this ratio goes the closer we get to a recession signal. CAUTION is in order as it is collapsing!
Comments
bestraderbro
i would need to know why SPX and NDQ have not declined on Yield curve inversion over the decades. Is there something else to know?
RealMacro
@bestraderbro, Hello! It is not a light switch to turn on-off. Funds are not day traders it takes time to find fools to sell to and unload Trillions of dollars.
At the same time, many unknowns still remain macro is slow.
bestraderbro
@RealMacro, i understand,yes and probably bonds cant be sold that easily in a recessive economy, says some that central banks are obliged to buy them back. What we should check is signs of this happening, I guess.
RealMacro
@bestraderbro, I was not talking about Bonds. Anything can be sold at a price. The key is to sell it to a fool at a price that is profitable.
bestraderbro
@RealMacro, i found interesting listening to Fidelity Fund Jurrien Timmer, talking about the macro cycles on this podcast yesterday open.spotify.com/episode/4CEvg86D9tZLt7gQIoUSea?si=19717d812c0b4b95 . Recommend it, specially if you are knowledgeable of macro eco which i am not yet, im kind of newbie
bestraderbro
one note on this though. I did not live so badly from 2016 to 2020, well at least i wasnt into finance. So it all depends what kind of assets you want to stick to,and what kind of debt you are in....
RealMacro
@bestraderbro, If you make decisions as to how you lived from 2016 to 2020 you are in trouble. It has nothing to do with macroeconomics and investing.
bestraderbro
the big short coming?
RealMacro
@bestraderbro, I don't have a crystal ball and I don't guess. We'll see.
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