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UnknownUnicorn12250317
Nov 15, 2021 12:03 PM

Yields, 15 Nov. Another Failed H&S Pattern? Long

United States 10 Year Government Bonds YieldTVC

Description

The 10-year yield has printed a failed H&S pattern. So it is worth looking at it from a technical perspective.

Geometry:
The H&S target at 1.380 was not reached, instead the yield climbed back above the neckline (blue dashed line). This is a small but important detail. A failed H&S pattern is often a strong continuation pattern.

Fractals:
The area marked in red shows the same scenario: A failed H&S with a large move up after consolidation below the neckline. Small patterns give us a hint about large patterns, because they reveal the personality of that instrument.

Elliott:
We are able to count a wave iv (in green) which is part of a larger wave (iii) in blue. This wave, in turn, may be part of a larger wave 1 or leading diagonal.

How I trade it:
Support on top of 1.500 would indicate that yields are ready to move higher. The pitchfork median can act as local resistance.
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