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jdharward
Jan 4, 2019 1:26 AM

Yep, lower mortgage rates for 2019 

United States 10 Year Government Bonds YieldTVC

Description

10 year yield is dropping with a quickness to match only stock sell-offs.

Might be a good time to look at some REITS? Rates look to me like they will decline for the next 2-3 years.

Yields hit .382 fib support today and bounced very slightly higher.

News of the end of the Gov shut down could provide the catalyst needed to send yields back to .236 level (2.80%), especially if combined with "favorable" "CHINA!" news.

Such a bounce will be temporary and yields will continue to drop lower. Zoom out and you can see we're on a 35+ year trend of lowering rates.

Next support fib is 2.29 followed by a more significant one at 2.06.

Strongest support at 1.75 where we have fib, gann fan and support/resistance trends all converging.

Comment

Still heading lower!

Current yield is between .23 and .38 retracement levels with 2.52% representing .382 level.

Comment

Right on target and time frame :)

Comment

Spot on! Monthly view with the candle now red.

Going lower!!

Comment

Comments
jdharward
On the nose so far. Expect the yield to hold around the .618 level (2.06) until FOMC press release. That's likely to send the yield lower.
jdharward
End of last week's news of Trump's announcement provided the fuel to send yields squarely to 2.8 before retreating. Now heading back to 2.52 and 2.29
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