US 10Y TREASURY: June inflation and PPI

TVC:US10Y   US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield
Markets reacted to released unemployment data during the previous week. The increasing unemployment to 4.1% in June from 4.0% in May was an indication to investors of a possibility that inflation pressures will slow down on decreased employment and that it will provide the necessary space for the Fed to cut interest rates in September. After struggling to sustain yields during the past several weeks, the market finally reacted in a relaxed manner during the previous week, by bringing the 10Y benchmark yields down to 4.28% on Friday. Yields started the week around level of 4.48%.

For the week ahead, it should be considered that June inflation and PPI data will be published. Although surprises in inflation data are not expected, still, in case that posted figures do not fit market expectations, the market will correct current pricing. As per current charts, the level of 4.20% is indicated as the next level to be tested. However, some volatility might be expected, but not higher from 4.30%.


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