Weekly closing price: 20990
The US equity market continued to climb north last week, registering its fourth consecutive weekly gain! With equities now trading at record highs, where do we go from here? Well, given that there is absolutely no weekly resistance levels in sight, the best we can do for the time being is continue looking to ‘buy the dips’. The closest higher-timeframe area can be seen at 20714-20821: a daily .
Stepping across to the H4 candles, we can see that Friday’s action was fairly lackluster despite the Fed Chair Janet Yellen voicing intentions to hike rates in March. As is evident from the chart, the index closed the week below the 21000 mark, which could call for a continuation move south down to the H4 demand base drawn from 20837-20869.
Our suggestions: In light of the above points, we still have absolutely no intention of looking to short this unit.
We would rather look to buy from the above noted H4 demand, or even the H4 demand seen below it at 20769-20801, which happens to be positioned within the walls of the aforementioned daily demand zone! The interesting thing here is that in between these two H4 barriers (the yellow zone) is March’s opening level at 20824 and a possible H4 completion point at 20813 (see black arrows). To that end, should we see price strike the yellow zone today/this week, our team would, assuming that a reasonably sized H4 bull candle took shape, look to buy from here with stops either placed below the trigger candle or below the H4 demand at 20769-20801.
Data points to consider: FOMC member Kashkari speaks at 8pm GMT .
Levels to watch/live orders:
• Buys: 20801/20837 region (wait for a reasonably sized H4 bull candle to form before looking to pull trigger here, stop loss: ideally beyond the trigger candle).
• Sells: Flat (stop loss: N/A).