• US 10Y Treasury yield
• US 30Y Treasury yield
And both are starting to look dangerous.
Yields continue moving higher, breaking resistance levels and accelerating upward.
This is one of the most important macro signals for global markets.
🤔 Why does it matter?
When bond yields rise → money becomes more expensive.
That means:
• borrowing costs increase
• liquidity tightens
• debt becomes harder to service
• investors reduce exposure to risk assets
That’s why rising yields historically pressure financial markets.
❗️The most concerning part right now is the 30Y yield.
US30Y is already above 5%.
That’s a massive level for the US economy.
📚 Important misconception
Many people think:“Yields rise because bonds are being bought.”
Reality is the opposite.
When demand for bonds is strong:
→ bond prices rise
→ yields fall
When demand is weak:
→ bond prices fall
→ yields rise
👉 Current yield growth means the market demands higher returns for holding US debt.
In other words Investors are starting to say:
“We are no longer willing to buy US debt at low yields because risks are too high.” ⚖️
And there are plenty of risks right now:
• massive US debt
• years of money printing
• persistent inflation
• budget deficit problems
• slowing global economy
📌 Most important part
Rising long-term yields also signal that the market expects inflation to remain elevated for many years ahead.
The market is beginning to doubt that the era of cheap money and ultra-low inflation will return anytime soon.
And if inflation stays high:
→ rates stay high
→ liquidity stays weak
→ economic growth slows
→ risk assets struggle
💰 What does this mean for crypto?
For now #BTC and altcoins still remain relatively strong.
But it’s important to understand:
the current rally is driven mostly by short liquidations and hopes for future rate cuts — not by fresh liquidity entering the system.
Meanwhile macro conditions continue deteriorating:
• yields rising
• strong dollar
• liquidity not returning
Which means: globally, the environment for sustainable growth still does not exist.
🔍 Especially look at the chart above showing the dominance of major stablecoins in the market.
As you can see, after the current consolidation in a bullish flag structure, stablecoin dominance looks ready for another upward move.
And rising stablecoin dominance usually means one thing:
less liquidity flowing into the crypto market 📉
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🤟 Enjoyed this post and want more like it?
✔️ Then join my Telegram
👉 t.me/+1v6UHltC22xlMDdi
_ _ _ _ _
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✔️ Then join my Telegram
👉 t.me/+1v6UHltC22xlMDdi
_ _ _ _ _
💰 I trade on the BingX 👉 bingx.com/en/partner/cassiustrade
🎁 Welcome bonus up to $10,800 + trading fee discounts
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
