S&P500 reached the top of the four month Channel Up, remaining on heavily overbought technical indicators on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 75.225, MACD = 61.680, ADX = 45.310). As the 1D RSI is close to hitting the HH trendline that goes as back as November 2022, we expect a pullback, at least on the short term inside the Channel Up, first to drop the overbought indicators back to a balanced stated and secondly to form a HL on the Channel Up.
We are opening a sell on closing, aiming at a -2.60% (TP = 4,460) pull back which was the decline of the last correction. That will be a low risk buy opportunity (as long as the 1D MA50 holds) to target R1 (TP = 4,640).
If the candle closes under the 1D MA50 and S1, we will short and target the 1D MA200 on S3 (TP = 4,165), a potential correction that will neutralize finally the overbought 1D RSI.
Prior idea:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##