The posted is that of the US Consumer where are the funds coming from ?? no down turn YET. in each of the down turns looking at the chart in 1973/1974 ,1980/1982 , 1990/1991, ,2000/2002, 2007/2009 2023/2024 We had very clear BEAR MARKETS . once the spending turned down it lasted from 17 to 22 months