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CHIEF_MACRO
Aug 28, 2021 4:29 PM

USDCAD Short by Chief Macro Short

U.S. Dollar/Canadian DollarFXCM

Description

Likely a very unpopular call, but I think USDCAD ultimately fails here. My quick summary view of the dollar follows, but I will note that there is some event-driven opportunity to make some money in a USDCAD trade, with Hurricane Ida approaching Oil Production in the Gulf of Mexico (likely causing oil to spike).

I have had the view for a couple of months that the dollar looks relatively weak ("accommodative") against the rest of the market. Despite a few bebe squeezes and the expected psychological volatility that comes with DXY, I think the evidence suggests a lower dollar ahead.
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