FX:USDCAD   U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar
Hello Traders,

Here we have a VALID SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE on FX:USDCAD             , which has formed within the consolidation zone. We have been in this consolidation for the past 15 days and this probably has to do with the upcoming Fed interest news this Thursday. Everyone is just trying to be on the safe side and the direction will probably be more clear after the Fed news. This type of consolidation can be seen in almost any FX pairs, but it's more obvious in pairs related to USD, like EURUSD             , GBPUSD             , AUDUSD             , NZDUSD             , etc.

For this pattern I have labelled 3 potential targets each with a same -50 pip stop loss. 1st target can be taken at the lows of the consolidation zone, while the 2nd target can be taken at the 127.2% Fib extension for A and B points. And the last or 3rd target is the measured target, which is equal to the distance between points A and B, which is approximately about +236 pips.

NOTE #1: The current candle has broken the triangle to the downside and most likely will close below the bottom of the triangle. Wait for the retest of the triangle before entering into the short trade. Be ready for any type of possible false breakouts, especially since we are in a consolidation zone.

Please feel free to AGREE or DISAGREE with this idea by leaving a comment below. Hit that thumbs up button (top left corner of this chart) if you like the idea. Thank you everyone for all the SUPPORT that you have given me so far, I truly appreciate it. Good luck everyone :)
I don't think this is a triangle but the concept more or less describes the price action.
The breakout would probably be short lived if it went up.
+1 Reply
moneymaking IvanLabrie
Hey mate, yeah this is not a perfect triangle, but it is a valid one. You can just see the price contracting as we go further into the consolidation zone. I would think that would most probably lead to some sort of a pattern, which in this case was the triangle pattern. I will be actively managing this trade. I think we are most likely to get a false breakout. But let's see how it goes :)
UPDATE #1: Trade is ACTIVE now !!
Nice, I had almost the same "up" trendline on my radar but missed the breakout regretfully...
Trying to get some pips out of a possible retracement up now, if the stop-chasers don't get me...
If we break the 1.3120 level below we might be in for the long haul, on to that lower "up" trendline, 1.2700 would be a nice goal...!

Good job on this one for you, hope your trade goes well!
+1 Reply
Hey KVE, thank you for the kind words. Appreciate it. All the BEST :)
UPDATE #2: 1st Target reached. Stops can move to break even. But I will be keeping mine at -50 Pips, as we might see starting of a short term downtrend :)
UPDATE #3: 2nd target achieved. Now I will move stop to break even :)
You absolutely nailed this one!
+1 Reply
moneymaking Yahia.Awes
Hey mate, thank you. Symmetrical triangles work very rarely for me. But this one was pain free :)
+1 Reply
Yahia.Awes moneymaking
Did you long crude at 43's?
+1 Reply
moneymaking Yahia.Awes
Not yet mate, I am waiting for a deeper retracement to the downside, before adding any more long positions.
moneymaking Yahia.Awes
We are currently getting hidden bullish divergence, but it requires more proof before putting at capital on it :)

UPDATE #4: Breakeven stop loss hit. All positions are now closed. Good trade overall :)
nice short.. watch 3180 area for support
+1 Reply
moneymaking mkdeep04
Hey mkdeep04, thank you. Yeah I sure will :)
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