KXRTrading123

Simple Trading Strategy - 30min Timeframe

FX:USDCAD   U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar
A friend asked me to create a setup that he could have on his phone and he could get alerts on potential trades. So this is what I came up with a slight modification of a system I have on my desktop. 5/21 Cross with a couple Friends!

Setup:
1) 30min Chart Only
2) 5EMA and 21 EMA
2a) I added a ribbon to make it easier to see on a phone. 7,9,11,13,15,17,19 EMA's
3) MACD - Set at 3/26/1
4) RSI set to 10

Sell Entry Rules:
1) 5 must cross below 21 on a bar close
2) The Price Bar must close below the the 21EMA
3) MACD must be less 0
4) RSI needs to be greater than 30 (I like it better when it is greater than 35)
5) GO SHORT on the open of the very next bar where all conditions are met.
6) Set a TAKE PROFIT for the first 100pips
7) Put your initial stop above the must recent trade high bar. Once it moves in your direction trail your stop according to your money management goals.
8) Close Trade if a BUY SETUP is initiated.

BUY Entry - Reverse of Sell.

Observations - you very seldom will get more than 100-110pips trades seem to average in the 45-60 pips. The 30min timeframe gives you good moves but as with all trend systems choppy sideways trade can cause churn.

Aggressive Mode is to take every trade. Conservative mode is to add a 200 SMA to the chart and when the 5EMA and 21EMA are below only take the SELLS and vis-a-vis only take the BUYS. As the 5/21/200 converge wait for the next trend confirmation. This Conservative approach follows general Swing Trading Theory with Timeframe Trend.

Again a simple approach for those that may only have a few moments a day to do any homework. If you add alerts in Trading View you can receive a text message when the 5EMA crosses the 21EMA - this will help you from always checking your phone. Note: the alert will come based on current price remember the rules that the action takes place at the close of the bar.

If anyone has other simple setups I would love to see them.

Best Regards,
Konrad.
Comment: Just a follow up to this strategy. the trade has fallen short of the first 100pips at 99, but it is a good example of the BUY entry. Stops could of easily been moved up along the price path. This would of fallen under the category of an Aggressive BUY, because the 5EMA and 21EMA were below the 200SMA. Happy Trading.
Thank you. Great strategy
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@AVKTECH, Thank you.
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Hi, thank you for sharing, my question is what level do you like the RSI for a long entry? I noticed you said only 30 mins in the description but in a comment you nentioned it can be used with 15 min TF. 30 obviously has more confidence.

Thanks again
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@8SM, Rules are the reverse for buy... so <70
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8SM KXRTrading123
@KXRTrading123, thanks thats what I thought can you confirm the 15 min option as well please
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@8SM, 65/70 the inverse of the Sell. 15min is more dynamic. but if you are in a trending market you find that you can clip off some nice gains. This is not good in a Short Term Chopping Market.
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Hello @KXRTrading123 and @goodoboy,

I read your conversation and spent some time implementing this promising trading system.

I cannot manage to publish the script, Tradingview gives me weird error.

I uploaded the complete stragegy here : http://txt.do/dhqj6

You can just use it in tradingview pine editor and backtest it ( I setup a test period of one month : january 2018 but it's fully customizable ).

I spent some time tweaking parameteres, especially TP, SL an trailing stop. I reached a set of values that gets good results but you can improve this I am sure.

Here is a screenshot of some results on EURUSD 30min ( backtesting on last 3 months ) : https://image.ibb.co/iJ2YbH/Capture.jpg

Well i am interested in having a good trading system to trade with, but i'm not an experienced trader, mostly a programmer.

I'm sure one of you could optimize much better the TP/SL & trailing stops parameters so the system gets better results ( like less trade per month for instance or I don't know ).

Any help from you would be very appreciated !

Best regards,

Paul

+1 Reply
PaulMir PaulMir
@KXRTrading123 @goodoboy Sorry I had a little mistake with the coding of the entry condition for long ( = negation of short entry condition )

Now i corrected the mistake and I have outstanding results if I understand well : https://image.ibb.co/gbrn3x/Capture.jpg

summary : last 3 month -> 48 trades, 95% profitables bringing 11% profit with a 1 order max at time, max 3% of portfolio.

Again, im just a programmer, with very little experience in trading, but i find these results much more than decent, I understand why you like this system @KXRTrading123 !!

Any comments or help or improvements ( especially regarding take profit/ stop loss are welcomed !)
+1 Reply
PaulMir PaulMir
hum sorry for the last message it was wrong, consider the first message correct. Results were too good to be true ;)

I still doubt about the long entry condition : what does reverse of the short position means ?

means (not condition A) and (not condition B) and ... right ?

Thanks!
+2 Reply
goodoboy PaulMir
@PaulMir,
Hello and thank you for the response. I am sorry for my late response.

I used NinjaTrader to program and test the strategy as I am mainly an automated systems trader. I test the strategy on other instruments such as crude oil and gold.

I am still testing and optimizing the strategy and applying some dynamic filters rather then using static TP and SL.

Manually trading the strategy is much better cause I can manage and trail the trade.
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