USD/CAD consolidation before news

FX:USDCAD   U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar
The currency is still trading outside the regression channel but it is just on the edge of the trading channel ! Right there a h&s has formed and its target was achieved yesterday. This gives good signals for a POSSIBLE change in trend and therefore for a continuation in the overall market trend

As a lot of new will be release for the CAD and USD in the next 40 min. I have come up with two possible scenarios for the currency.
Scenario 1 is in the case of a full upward breakout, with a resistance zone .
Scenario 2 is in the case of a full downward breakout.
Both of them have a downward overall target level.

note: the target level will be no longer target for scenario 1 in the case of an establishment of a new high!

I have left the market prediction neutral because of the both daily trend possibilities.