darcsherry

USDCAD | Perspective for the new week

Short
FX:USDCAD   U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar
With over 380pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); It appears we still have a few more pips to mop as the appearance of a Bearish Rectangle pattern dictates the prevailing direction of price... The risk of further decline gains momentum! The USD/CAD pair gained some positive traction during the mid-European session on Friday and climbed to around the CAD1.27910 which was followed by sharp rejection of this level. As I anticipate making CAD1.27910 my new Sell window in the coming week, the major Supply zone @ CAD1.28400 is still a zone with selling significance.

Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Bearish Rectangle | Breakdown | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. The risk of further decline in the week(s) ahead is still strong as price-action is caught within a Bearish rectangle pattern.
ii. Presently, price action is hovering around 61.8% retracement of AB leg with indications that it might evolve into a Harmonic (AB = CD) pattern in the coming week(s).
iii. ABCD pattern parameters explained below;
a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is currently hovering at 61.8% (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move.
iv. Breakdown and retest of Demand zone @ CAD1.27000 shall inspire a second position.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:3
Potential Duration: 1 to 5 days

NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.

Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.


Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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