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Exercise-Discipline
Nov 1, 2016 3:58 AM

USDCAD SHORT: Technical Short

U.S. Dollar/Canadian DollarFXCM

Description

USDCAD is overstretched to the upside.

On the 4H chart, it is outside 800 period Bollinger Bands.

Furthermore, there is divergence towards the 1.34 level, suggesting momentum of the upward move is slowing.

I expect a pullback on this pair, especially as oil appreciates back to the $50 level, to 1.32.

Below 1.32, strong support should be expected at 1.30.

Risks, of course, are a hawkish FOMC statement (largely priced in) and a Trump win (not priced in).

Trade closed: target reached

Done
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