WILL PRICE REACH TO THE UPPER CHANNEL (1.36?) OR DO WE HAVE A COMPLETED 5TH WAVE ALREADY?
This is the million dollar question. Following suggests it is NOT yet: 1- Everyone expects a rate hike in USD in December 2- There is still some juice left in USDCAD pair to go up, judging from strength indicators.
The following suggests that the Time is up and UASCAD shall go down 1- Significant exhaustion, judging from MACD Divergence/Convergence 2- Birth pranks of a Heads&Shoulder formation barely visible at daily chart level 3-Technically price already reached the levels of wave 3 (check out on this chart) 4-reverse hammer (sort of) on weekly chart 5-Price does NOT respond as it should be to oil prices (i.e.today oil dropped significantly and USDCAD did not move proportionally up) 6- In Oil chart (refer to my analysis) signs for a trend change.
My advice: Be careful at this stage if you take the LONG side. I don't know personally if the USDCAD will go up to 1.36. Watch signals at lower time frames and act accordingly.