USD/CAD Short Setup from Monthly Fair Value Gap Rejection

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Price has tapped into the monthly FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the 1.4050 area, aligning with a potential liquidity sweep above the previous week’s high (PWH).

If lower timeframes (H4 or H1) confirm a bearish shift in market structure or displacement, I’ll be looking for short entries targeting the previous monthly low (PML) at 1.3726, which also aligns with equal lows and a daily FVG resting below.

The setup idea follows the premise that the market has reached a premium level after engineering liquidity above the highs and is likely to rebalance towards the discount zone where liquidity and inefficiencies remain unfilled.

Confluence:
• Monthly FVG tapped
• Liquidity sweep above previous week’s high
• Potential bearish structure shift on lower timeframe
• Untapped daily FVG below at 1.37 zone

If price fails to show bearish confirmation and breaks cleanly above the monthly FVG, this idea becomes invalid.

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