IvanLabrie

$USDCAD: Lagging oil...

Short
IvanLabrie Updated   
FX:USDCAD   U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar
I plotted inverse oil here vs $USDCAD, it seems there's a nice opportunity for a big short to close that spread. I'm long $CADJPY and short $USDCAD from earlier today, now made some time to post the weekly signal in $USDCAD, which is cooking here. If price breaks 1.24603, a weekly down trend with a target @ 1.16536 will be active, predicting a 18 week decline is setting up. Stop loss for this setup should be a bit above the light red horizontal line on chart.

Best of luck,

Cheers.

Ivan.
Trade active:
Comment:
This one isn't doing much yet, action in the Yen is surpassing that in the $CAD, oil moved up but $CAD once again under performing it today...I'm holding and waiting.
Comment:
Holding $USDCAD...
Comment:
Comment:
Comment:
Daily target hit: Weekly is still valid, so, holding it...
Comment:
I correct myself, the big signal here is in the monthly timeframe, not weekly.
The local weekly trend is smaller, and part of the swing from the last top 8 weeks ago.
Here it is in monthly scale, in all its glory, plotted vs inverse oil.
Comment:
4 more weeks to go before consolidation in weekly scale. (this can trigger a monthly signal, which might justify holding it)
Trade closed manually:
Banked it here, will wait for a new daily set up to rejoin, the weekly trend is active, monthly not yet. Oil daily trend expires in 1 day, some consolidation in oil related names is possible.
Comment:
It did go lower so far, didn't give me a chance to rejoin.
Trade active:
Back in the saddle, again. I mean, continuation signal.
Comment:
The long signal that popped later worked, after the short was stopped out again. I didn't update this here, my bad. I did trade it, but caught half the move only. Tricky moves lately.

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