On the 4-hour chart, the first wave i of 3 formed, and the local correction ii of 3 ended. Now, the development of the wave iii of 3 is beginning, within which the first wave of the lower level (i) of iii is forming. If the assumption is correct, the pair will grow to the levels of 1.0241–1.0400. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 0.9858.
Main scenario
Long positions will become relevant during the correction, above the level of 0.9858 with the targets at 1.0241–1.0400. Implementation period: 7 days and more.
Alternative scenario
The breakout and the consolidation of the price below the level of 0.9858 will let the pair go down to the level of 0.9715.
Scenario
Timeframe Weekly Recommendation BUY Entry Point 1.0002 Take Profit 1.0241, 1.0400 Stop Loss 0.9858 Key Levels 0.9715, 0.9858, 1.0241, 1.0400
Alternative scenario
Recommendation SELL STOP Entry Point 0.9850 Take Profit 0.9715 Stop Loss 0.9910 Key Levels 0.9715, 0.9858, 1.0241, 1.0400