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Novi_Fibonacci
Feb 16, 2024 3:28 PM

BIG UPCOMING MOVE FOR UCHF!! Long

U.S. Dollar/Swiss FrancFXCM

Description

Here I have USD/CHF on the Daily Chart!

I am waiting for price to Retrace to the .87577 - .87379 area for a potential Buy Entry!!

If price finds support here, I will be looking to place a SL @ .86786 with a TP @ the .91913 - .93426 range!

Comment

Price on a Decline!

Interested to see what is said during the FOMC meeting!!

Comment

Little is unchanged after the FOMC meeting!

Feds need to see more progress toward the 2% target before considering cutting rates meaning ... RATES HIGHER FOR LONGER!
*Possibly even until JUNE!

Price is still creeping closer to our .8757 - .8737 range! Be On The Lookout!

Trade active

Price came down into our range early this morning!

Buy Entry @ .8750!

Comment

Comment

Unemployment Claims (USD) - 201k (16k Less than Forecasted)!
*Bullish read for DXY!

Trade active

Second Buy Entry @ .8802

After the mixed results of Manufacturing and Services PMI, Price had made a big Bullish push, breaking the Falling Resistance. Once price made an attempt to break down lower and couldn't, I decided to take another Buy Entry!

Comment

Beautiful Bullish push into the overhead Resistance Zone to create New Highs this morning!!

Comment

By the End of Last Week, Price was unable to break the overhead Resistance Zone!

-CHF has CPI released on Monday with a Bullish undertone to the forecast and then USD has a BUSY news week so BE VIGILANT!

Comment

Price is coming back into my Entry Zone!!

Looking for a reaction in the .8757 - .8737 range again!

Trade active

Buy Entry @ .8765!

Beautiful reaction off the Zone and touch of the 200 EMA on 4Hr Chart!

Comment

Price is right back up at the Resistance Zone!

Comment

Swiss National Bank CUT RATES!!!
&
Fed decided to HOLD RATES!

Fundamentally this explains why we are seeing this massive push to the upside to our Range Target!

Comment

This week for news will be HEAVY on USD:
-New Home Sales (Mon), Durable Goods/Consumer Confidence (Tue), FOMC Waller Speaks (Wed), Final GDP/Unemployment/Pending Home Sales (Thu) & Core PCE Price Index/Powell Speaks (Fri)
*Most Forecasted to have BULLISH readings

So we could potentially see Price either push up to the Range Target OR could see Price position itself for another Retracement!

Comment

We are seeing a HUGE push to the upside!!

I am anticipating price to possibly create a High in the overhead Resistance Zone @ .9080 - .9120!

-If price does descend before finishing to our Range Target, we could potentially look for another Buy Entry!!
Comments
JoeChampion
between 0.87 and 0.88 we may get a decent spike to the upsides... Inflation is easing in Switzerland meanwhile it's still a concern in the US!
Novi_Fibonacci
@JoeChampion, 100% agree! I think it'll take all week this week possibly for USD (at least until Unemployment & Flash Services/Manufacturing PMI comes out on Thursday) to make its move depending on how hot or cold news prints. Along with USD - 3.1% y/y, .3% m/m & CHF - .2%, I'd think investors would stay interested in the USD given how they expected it to print 2.9% y/y, .2% m/m
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