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CommoditiesTrader
Oct 13, 2014 5:17 PM

USDCHF is a dollar proxy, signaling continued gold support Short

U.S. Dollar/Swiss FrancFXCM

Description

Here is my short-term view: tinyurl.com/lqbpexp

A continued weakened USDCHF will support gold prices.
Comments
vlad.adrian
I believe that every real currency pair that includes the US Dollar is a Dollar proxy, wouldn't you agree?
CommoditiesTrader
No, not really because you have to take into account the pegged currency, which can out- or underperform the dollar. If you notice, the USDCHF tracks the DX almost identically, while the USDJPY and USDCAD can decouple.
vlad.adrian
They decouple when there is another important trend in the opposite currency. Right now, the only trend is in the dollar, so all dollar pairs perform more or less the same. On the long run, 1% more or less wont matter.
CommoditiesTrader
Not what I'm getting at, though.
CommoditiesTrader
Sure, movement can be similar but not the same currently. The purpose of the piece was using the USDCHF as a DX subsitute for those not trading futures, along with using multi-asset analysis.
CommoditiesTrader
CommoditiesTrader
Easy Peasy. Both pairs hit there respective mark. Looking for the trend to continue.
Nick_C_
Eh, W4 flat correction-- expect that trend-line to be taken out in c of B wave
CommoditiesTrader
Guess it's good I don't surf ;) New highs are unlikely to be taken out.
Nick_C_
Yea, I would agree the highs unlikely to be taken out (aka flat correction), although they could be temporarily (expanded flat)-- just addressing your resistance line that has a good chance of being broken to the upside in the near term, don't buy the breakout.. C wave going to bring it back down xD.. Bullish gold on weekly TF
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