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USD/CHF: growth potential remains

FX:USDCHF   U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc
14 0 1
Current trend

Since the beginning of this week the USD/CHF             pair was falling.
However, today poor macroeconomic statistics from Switzerland supported the pair. The SVME – Purchasing Managers’ Index for November fell to 49.7 points, while Real Retail Sales shrank by 0.8%. Both indices came out significantly worse than forecasts. Furthermore, the third quarter GDP grew by only 0.8% against the previous year that was also worse than expected.

Today attention needs to be paid to data on the ISM Manufacturing PMI for November from the US that is forecasted to grow from 50.1 to 50.3 points. A high volatility is expected on the market.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart , the pair is moving along an ascending channel between the levels of 1.0340 and 0.9800. Despite the price is trading at year highs, the growth potential towards the level of 1.0600 (EMA144 on the monthly chart) remains in the pair.

At the same time, a downward correction to the level of 1.0215 (EMA50, lower border of an ascending channel on the 4-hour chart) is possible.
On the daily and weekly charts, OsMA and Stochastic indicate a growth continuation, while on the 4-hour chart they turned to sales.

Support levels: 1.0215, 1.0130, 1. 0000             , 0.9880, 0.9800.
Resistance levels: 1.0300, 1.0340, 1.0400.

Trading tips

Pending sell order can be placed from the level of 1.0270 with targets at 1.0190, 1.0100, 1.0080, 1. 0000             and stop-loss at 1.0310.
Pending buy orders can be placed from the level of 1.0320 with targets at 1.0340, 1.0400, 1.0600 and stop-loss at 1.0280.
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