Swiss-Dollar Bank Job: Breakout or Bust!

Aug 25

💵🕵️ USD/CHF "Swiss-dollar" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 💎🚀

🌍 Dear Thieves, Robbers & OG’s of the Market Vault,
This is our master robbery blueprint based on 🔥Thief Strategy🔥 using layered entries & alarms to catch the breakout in real-time.

📈 Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Plan)

Breakout Entry ⚡: 0.81100 (set your alarms, don’t miss the crack in the vault 🚨)

Pullback Entries (Layer Method) 🧱:
0.79000
0.79300
0.79500
0.79700
0.80000
(add more layers if needed, stack your bullets 🎯)

💡 Thief Layer Strategy: Place multiple buy limit orders like thieves placing ladders at different points of entry. Confirm every layer only after breakout @0.81100.

🛑 Stop Loss (SL)

Breakout Entry SL: 0.80000

Pullback Entry SL: 0.78500
⚠️ Place your SL only after breakout/pullback confirms. Adjust as per your own risk appetite & layering style.

🎯 Target
Police barricade spotted 🚓 around 0.83000
Escape Target 🎒: 0.82500 (collect profits before the cops close in 🚔💨)

🔔 Important Reminder
✅ Always set alarms in TradingView so you catch the breakout without missing it.
✅ SL & Target levels are based on Thief OG method — tweak them for your style.
✅ This is not financial advice, just a robbery blueprint.

💖 If you enjoyed this heist plan, boost the idea & join the Thief Crew 🚀💵.
Together we raid the market vaults daily! 🏆💸

Aug 25

Trade active

Sep 2

Note

💱 USD/CHF Live Data
Daily Change: +0.0046 (+0.57%)
Day's Range: 0.8000 - 0.8058
52-Week Range: 0.7871 - 0.9202

😱 Fear & Greed Sentiment
Market Sentiment Score: Greed (77.95 RSI-Based) 🟢
Investor Mood: Optimistic but cautious due to overbought conditions.
Safe-Haven Demand: Moderate (CHF strength vs. USD)

🏛 Fundamental & Macro Score
US Inflation Rate: 2.7% (Jul 2025)
Swiss Inflation Rate: 0.2% (Jul 2025)
Interest Rate Diff.: USD 4.50% vs. CHF 0.00%
Swiss Trade Balance: +1.98B CHF (Surplus)
Macro Score: 7/10 (USD Supported by Rate Differential)

📈 Retail & Institutional Sentiment
Retail Traders: Mixed (Cautious due to overbought signals)
Institutional Bias: Bullish (Strong Buy Technical Signals)
Positioning: Net Long USD/CHF (Supported by Oil & Yield Spreads)

🐂 Overall Market Outlook: BULL (Long) 🟢
Short-Term: Bullish (Strong Buy Technicals, Rising Momentum)
Key Risks: Overbought Correction, ECB/US Fed Policy Shifts

💡 Key Takeaways
USD/CHF is bullish with strong institutional support.
Overbought RSI suggests potential short-term pullback.
Macro factors favor USD strength (Rate Differentials, Oil Prices).
Monitor US NFP (Sep 5) and ECB Policy for next moves.

Sep 23

Trade closed manually

📊 USD/CHF Real-Time Market Data Report (September 23, 2025)
💸 Real-Time Exchange Rate
Current Rate: 0.7905 CHF per 1 USD
Daily Change: +0.12%
Trading Volume: Moderate, with stable liquidity in major forex sessions

📈 Fundamental Analysis Score
US Economic Indicators: 🟢 Positive
GDP Growth: Steady at 2.5% annualized (Q2 2025)
Inflation: 2.3% CPI, slightly above Fed’s 2% target
Employment: Unemployment rate at 3.8%, near historic lows
Federal Reserve Policy: Recent 25-basis-point rate cut in September 2025, with one more expected by year-end

Swiss Economic Indicators: 🟡 Neutral
GDP Growth: 1.2% annualized, slower than US
Inflation: 1.1%, subdued, below SNB target
Swiss National Bank Policy: Cautious stance, potential for negative rates if inflation weakens further
Budget Deficit: Projected at ~3 billion CHF, adding pressure on CHF

Score: 6.5/10 (US fundamentals stronger, CHF under pressure from SNB and deficits)

🌍 Macro Score
Global Trade Environment: 🟡 Neutral
US tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China bolster USD strength
Swiss export-driven economy faces headwinds from global trade tensions

Geopolitical Factors: 🟡 Neutral
Stable US political environment post-election
Swiss neutrality limits geopolitical risk, but global uncertainty persists

Capital Flows: 🟢 USD Favored
Investors favor USD due to higher US bond yields
CHF safe-haven demand weakened by low rates
Score: 7/10 (USD benefits from trade policies and yields, CHF lacks momentum)

😊 Trader Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders:
Bullish: 55% (favoring USD strength)
Bearish: 30% (expecting CHF recovery)
Neutral: 15%

Institutional Traders:
Bullish: 65% (strong USD bias due to fundamentals)
Bearish: 25% (cautious on CHF due to SNB interventions)
Neutral: 10%

Explanation: Retail sentiment is mixed but leans bullish on USD due to recent rate cut clarity and tariff-driven USD strength. Institutional traders show stronger USD confidence, driven by macroeconomic data and yield differentials.

😨 Fear & Greed Index
Current Level: 60/100 (Moderate Greed)
Breakdown:
Greed (60%): Driven by USD strength and optimism in US markets
Fear (40%): Concerns over Swiss economic slowdown and SNB policy uncertainty

Explanation: The market leans toward greed, reflecting confidence in USD due to robust US economic data and policy clarity. CHF faces fear-based selling pressure due to weaker fundamentals and potential SNB interventions.

🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Score: Bullish (Long USD/CHF)
Explanation: The USD/CHF pair is favored to rise in the near term due to:
Stronger US economic growth and higher yields supporting USD
Swiss National Bank’s cautious policy and economic challenges pressuring CHF
Positive USD sentiment among institutional traders
Moderate greed in the market, indicating appetite for USD exposure

🔑 Key Takeaways
Exchange Rate: Stable at 0.7905, with slight USD gains
Fundamentals: US outperforms Switzerland (6.5/10)
Macro: USD benefits from trade and yields (7/10)
Sentiment: Retail (55% bullish), Institutional (65% bullish)
Fear & Greed: Moderate greed (60/100)
Outlook: Bullish on USD/CHF due to US strength and CHF weakness