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FTE1995
Dec 10, 2018 7:40 PM

USD/CHF - 2nd Bear flag forming after breakdown of previous... Short

U.S. Dollar/Swiss FrancFXCM

Description

- USD/CHF looks to be in a well established downtrend now
- After a bear flag formation last week the pair successfully broke down to create a lower low
- Within this bear flag the previous swing low support prior to its formation, formed the new resistance level within the pattern
- This may be repeating itself within the second bear flag being formed at the moment
- We will have to see if price successfully rejects this level as resistance and breaks down through the bear flag pattern

*** For this second bear flag to be valid we would need to see price break through the lower ascending trend-line support
*** If price were to break higher through both the previous support turned resistance, as well as the ascending trend-line resistance of the pattern this would invalidate it

THIS NOT TRADE ADVICE NOR A TRADE CALL

Comments
Alecson95
Is this setup still valid?
FTE1995
@Alecson95, If upper trend line resistance breaks, pattern invalid.
If lower trendline support breaks, pattern valid + completed. As mentioned in chart description
Alecson95
@JamesEvison, which resistance? Previous resistance? As of now it has broken the ressistance of 0.99079. Please advise
FTE1995
@Alecson95, - Price made a false bearish break of the second bear flag formation, as we broke below the support trend-line, but then advanced back through both the broken support trend-line + resistance trend-line of 2nd bear flag
- Price is now at the resistance level encountered within the 1st flag pattern shown on chart
- In short, the second bear flag is invalid now but we may see a drop from the current level (0.9930), as this acted as resistance within the 1st flag
Hope this helps.
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