More seriously though, BOJ et als inability to take real responsibility for printed targets, and make policy = words to me makes the future clear for $yen trading. Lower is the only direction that is clear from here - in what was the most pressured BOJ meeting, from both markets and govt perspective, the BOJ performance was dismal so it leads the question, if not now why would it ever change? And Iwatas comments back this up, from the dept govs view, JPN is on firm track to hit its targets in amazing fashion.. so with such strong/ positive views (even if no data supporting), why will BOJ ease drastically more? they wont, as if most share his sentiment (which they do with most not voting to change the rate or JGB purchases which make up the bulk of the easing programme).
So all in all, Iwata's and previous speakers comments firmly in mind short $yen is now my view - after being a strong $yen bull on the basis of big easing with risk-on spill overs. Fading rallies seems appropriate and the 101.5 level today held unfazed which looks like a good level to add shorts for the imminent 100 level break. On the way down 101.5 was an intermediate level, 102 was the key so I am surprised it held and would prefer to short from the 102 nonetheless (much more likely to hold and 50 more easy pips of downside).
BOJ IWATA SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS