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IvanLabrie
Jun 9, 2015 5:10 PM

USDJPY: Top spotted Short

U.S. Dollar/Japanese YenFXCM

Description

Simple setup, initiate a short when the support is breached.
We have a very strong decline after completing what looks like an expanding ending diagonal triangle in the 4h/daily charts.
If price moves below the support level outlined in the chart, it will accelerate down, probably moving 430+ pips to the downside.
As a bonus, crude oil seems to be moving up, while Nikkei falls, effectively boosting this trade, correlation wise.
Will update with my entry and scale ins.

Good luck,
Ivan.
Comments
JWagnerFXTrader
You got a nice rejection on the short entry point today. Thank you for providing the analysis.
IvanLabrie
Welcome, looks like we will see bearish continuation soon.
You took the trade?
JWagnerFXTrader
Yes, but went long at lower levels.

I agree we are getting close to an important top. I figured this would be one of my last long trades in this 4 year trend. Here's the 60 min chart prompting the long.

CryptoPAMM
Agree, JPY is looking strong all over, I am short NZDJPY at the moment, seems the best risk/reward
IvanLabrie
Fascinating to see price trapped between low volume and mode support/resistance.
IvanLabrie
Re-shorted at 123.395, aiming to cover half at the recent low to make it risk free.
First entry still running.
IvanLabrie
Selling a retest of 123.395 here, partial tp at 122.459 and letting the first batch and half of this new one run until we hit 118-120.
IvanLabrie
All stops over 124.328.
ImranIshaq
when would it be a good time to enter at this point?
IvanLabrie
I think it's late, wait for today's close, and then watch the hourly or 4h chart during Asia tonight.
There might be a sideways move and then another strong leg down.
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