TradingView
Alexander_Nikitin
Sep 2, 2019 6:28 AM

USDJPY, 30. unified gartley Short

U.S. Dollar/Japanese YenFXCM

Description

A potential unified gartley is setting up. Below is the best (to my mind) way of trading it based on my market research.

Pattern details and a trade plan:
Swing identificaiton: prex(6)
B-point: 0.6-0.7XA
C-point: 0.3-0.4AB
Entry(limit order): 0.8XA
Stoploss(stop order): 0.9XA
Target(limit order): 1 to 1 RR

Historical performance:
First bar in history: 1999.01.04 07/00/00
Total patterns found: 26
Number of winners: 16
Average winner: 12.3 pips
Probabilitiy of win: 61.54%
Average RR: 1.33
R-expectancy: 0.4365

Trade active

Trade closed: stop reached

Comments
YouDontSeeMe
The SL should have been beyond the X leg. The set up was good.
Alexander_Nikitin
@YouDontSeeMe,
At that time placing stop at 0.9XA was a better option (greater expectancy).
YouDontSeeMe
@Alexander_Nikitin, yeah. but still its a damn good set up :)
Alexander_Nikitin
wolf-lamb
Your TA was good but I don't understand why didn't you set your stop-loss above the X point? Cheers!
Alexander_Nikitin
@wolf-lamb, Historically, setting stoploss below the X-point (0.9XA) was a better trading method (generated greater expectancy) based on my backtest.
wolf-lamb
@Alexander_Nikitin, I really appreciate your kind response. Do you know where can I find these kind of statistic for harmonic patterns? Is there a book you can recommend or a website? Thanks.
Alexander_Nikitin
@wolf-lamb,
No book/website gives this kind of stats. I tested everything myself. And I try to motivate others to test everything themselves.
ICEKI
Although the stop was hit; but overall the analysis was still nice thank you Alexander for the analysis =D
Alexander_Nikitin
@ICEKI, you are welcome
More