EverythingForex

BRIEF ANALYSIS: USDJPY: Looking Towards The Future. Soon To Drop

FX:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen
1646 1 36
Ok, Now I know that I am going to be getting a lot of heat from the Fundy guys on this since yes, I do know that the next FOMC could be announcing the rate hike and such. See? I do pay attention to the news! But what is now not yet known is how big (small?) a rate hike it will be. Less than expected, you'll not see a huge bump. Larger or just about what was expected, then could see a nice bump up. But...until it actually happens, it's all speculation.

So back to my chart and what it's telling me. From what I am seeing and from the wave count that I see, there seems to be a good setup coming for a nice drop! Not a bump. But in any case, for now, prices are still going up. This is something that I had predicted to happen anyway with this chart that I posted 2 MONTHS AGO
QUICK ANALYSIS: USDJPY: Scenario #2: ABC 5-3-5 ZigZag Wave 4
:

Here is that same chart updated with the current price moves and with the same wave count just for comparison. I didn't adjust the bat for comparison's sake:
snapshot

So it has taken 2 MONTHS for this pair to start getting to where I thought it would get to eventually! That is called patience! In any case, we are getting there (the POTENTIAL Bat that is). Although I had to readjust this bat's C point to reflect the more recent price movements, it's still the same bat. So am I saying I knew this was coming 2 months ago? Of course not! Back then, I thought it was a possibility and had been planning for it just in case it did come true. By planning for it, I was able to take advantage and make pips while it did this. Although a lot of times, there was a lot of doubt.

WAVE COUNT
The recent big up move is a 5-wave wave (C) that I predicted in that chart from 2 months ago where I had said that this wave 4 correction could be a "ABC 5-3-5 ZigZag wave 4". And that is what I am seeing and what is happening. The wave count that I have for this wave (C) is showing that we should be seeing a wave (4) of (5) coming up before we finally see a wave (5) of (5) up to fill the bat. When that happens, if my wave count is correct, then we should see the beginning of a very large move down.

PATTERNS
The only pattern that matters at this point is that POTENTIAL Bat that I called for 2 months ago. Prices look very, very likely to fill it. But after it fills it, what then? Will it drop? We'll need to wait and see.

MY TRADE PLAN
I'm looking for a wave 4 retrace very soon. When it does, I'll be looking for a SELL setup. But because I am expecting prices to head up in a wave (5), I will be watching the price action very tightly. For now, at the time of this post, I am neutral. Just waiting. In fact, if I miss this wave (4) down, I won't mind. I'll be looking for that wave (5) up.

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*DISCLAIMER:
Please keep in mind that I am not giving any trading signals or trade calls here. Only providing my own trade thoughts for your benefit and insight as to my trading technique and style. Please don't ask if you should or should not take the trade or ask for stop loss and take profit levels. Any SL or TP given on my trades are my own I have used for my trade and are not recommendations for you to use. If you are not sure, then you do not have a trading plan for yourself in place. I suggest you make one before you continue to do any trading!

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I agree, nice work.
USDJPY, Set Up
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