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matt_forex
Jul 16, 2014 7:14 PM

Yen Strength 7/16/14 Short

U.S. Dollar/Japanese YenFXCM

Description

The Yen has been building in strength through the summer. Here price has entered in to a small range(within a larger downtrend), with price being rejected at the .618 fib retracement and the resistance line, which created a confluence of resistance. Recent candle wicks show rejection at the 101.800 level, so I suspect this retracement may becoming to an end.

entry point should be approx. 101.800 area with a stop set in the 102.000 area. This stop placement was chosen since it has been a place of support and resistance in the past, and congestion seems to form there. Take profit would be fluid, evaluate PA and ride the trend down. (monitor the news as BOJ is known to intervene as their currency strengthens)
Comments
paulyberndt
watching this area too, sell stops sitting at that retracement. Dollar hitting resistance too on weekly
pcmourao
what are you looking for?
paulyberndt
a second hit at that fib level I will have a sell limit order in.
pcmourao
What do you mean a second hit? What if it it hit's and breaks?
paulyberndt
then i get stopped out for a small loss and try again at the next higher level. it will likely retest that fib level again
pcmourao
I think NIKKEI should break high later tonight and if everything works out, it should take USDJPY with it.
matt_forex
That 101.840 area has a lot of congestion Which hopefully works in our favor. good luck
matt_forex
So far its working out.
paulyberndt
money piling into the Yen because of fear should be hitting some buy stops soon. will see
pcmourao
I shorted last night because of another reson, but worked out pretty well. Plane crash helped the move sadly.
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