USDJPY is up to its same old tricks. The USDJPY like to consolidate tightly for periods of time then explode out of the range. This Breakout/Breakdown opportunity is setting up on the 240min chart. It's just a simple Balance Area. These Balance Area's are where "smart money" is either Accumulating or Distributing positions, we never really know what they are doing until we see the breakout. I'm favoring a downside break BUT I will NOT involve my self until I see a BREAK & CLOSE out of the Balance Area on the 240min Chart. Stops will go 1 ATR above/below Breakout bar. Targets are listed on the Chart.
Downside Scenario:
IF we break down, THEN we could be setting up a possible Head and Shoulders Pattern. This is shown on the Chart. IF this happens, THEN you will have the option to adding to your position or adjusting Target #2's to account for the Head and Shoulder Trade, just make sure you are following your rules in your Trade Plan.
Upside Scenario:
IF we break to the upside, THEN Target #1's line up with Structure (Look Left) and Target #2's will require us breaking into new Yearly high's. Breaking new highs is unlikely UNLESS we get a fundamental push like from the FED raising rates next week. I will be holding for Target #2's because that is what my Trade Plan says.
TIP: Having a Trading Plan helps to eliminate trading decisions based on "emotions". IF you don't have one yet, THEN I would encourage you to make one before making another trade :))
Best of Luck!
Downside Scenario:
IF we break down, THEN we could be setting up a possible Head and Shoulders Pattern. This is shown on the Chart. IF this happens, THEN you will have the option to adding to your position or adjusting Target #2's to account for the Head and Shoulder Trade, just make sure you are following your rules in your Trade Plan.
Upside Scenario:
IF we break to the upside, THEN Target #1's line up with Structure (Look Left) and Target #2's will require us breaking into new Yearly high's. Breaking new highs is unlikely UNLESS we get a fundamental push like from the FED raising rates next week. I will be holding for Target #2's because that is what my Trade Plan says.
TIP: Having a Trading Plan helps to eliminate trading decisions based on "emotions". IF you don't have one yet, THEN I would encourage you to make one before making another trade :))
Best of Luck!
Trade active:
Trade was ACTIVATED @ 9am NY Time today
Comment:
Target #1 is hit.. Holding for Target #2's
Comment:
Also Stops are at Breakeven
Comment:
Missed Target #2's by about 3 Pips.. Hopefully it will get back down there before stopping me out at Breakeven
Trade closed: target reached:
Well not hitting Target #2's by a couple of pips cost me.. 2nd half stopped @ Breakeven.. Trade closed