✅USD/JPY Analysis – H4 Chart - Rising Wedge Breakdown Potential
Price is currently respecting a Rising Wedge structure, showing signs of exhaustion near the Key Zone (≈154.20–154.70). We’ve seen a break + minor retest, indicating possible bearish continuation if sellers maintain pressure.
A drop toward the Psychological Level – 150.00 remains likely, followed by a deeper move into the 148.00 Key Zone if momentum continues.
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Downward structure building inside the pattern.
2️⃣Sellers are showing strength near support levels.
3️⃣Breakdown below the trendline indicates momentum continuation toward lower zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Sell after confirmed breakdown below the support (Candle close below trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – major support area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Above the pattern structure / recent swing high.
✅Psychological Discipline:
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as part of the strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
✅ Support this analysis with a
LIKE 👍 | COMMENT 💬 | FOLLOW 🔔
It helps a lot & keeps the ideas coming!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Price is currently respecting a Rising Wedge structure, showing signs of exhaustion near the Key Zone (≈154.20–154.70). We’ve seen a break + minor retest, indicating possible bearish continuation if sellers maintain pressure.
A drop toward the Psychological Level – 150.00 remains likely, followed by a deeper move into the 148.00 Key Zone if momentum continues.
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Downward structure building inside the pattern.
2️⃣Sellers are showing strength near support levels.
3️⃣Breakdown below the trendline indicates momentum continuation toward lower zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Sell after confirmed breakdown below the support (Candle close below trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – major support area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Above the pattern structure / recent swing high.
✅Psychological Discipline:
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as part of the strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
✅ Support this analysis with a
LIKE 👍 | COMMENT 💬 | FOLLOW 🔔
It helps a lot & keeps the ideas coming!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Note
• The Bank of Japan (BoJ) continues to closely monitor the Yen, with occasional warnings regarding excessive volatility—supporting potential JPY strength.
• The Federal Reserve’s policy tone remains crucial; any signs of rate cuts or cooling inflation could pressure USD.
• Broad market uncertainty may drive safe-haven flows into JPY, further favoring downside pressure in USD/JPY.
Overall, fundamentals lean toward a potential correction, aligning with technical structure.
Trade active
Telegram Channel Link -
t.me/AM_Alpha_Trading
Contact Me @ t.me/Alphatrading_admin 📍📍
t.me/AM_Alpha_Trading
Contact Me @ t.me/Alphatrading_admin 📍📍
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Telegram Channel Link -
t.me/AM_Alpha_Trading
Contact Me @ t.me/Alphatrading_admin 📍📍
t.me/AM_Alpha_Trading
Contact Me @ t.me/Alphatrading_admin 📍📍
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.