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USD/JPY Short term outlook

FX:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen
140 0 0
•RES3 :120.08 (Apr 22nd high)

•RES 3: 119.80 (200 day 4HMA)

•RES 2: 119.45 (Kijun-Sen)

•RES 1: 119.05 (20 day 4HMA)


PRICE: 118.83 @ 05:20 GMT            

•SUP 1: 118.50 (Apr 20th low)

•SUP 2: 118.16 ( 61.8% retracement of 115.85 and 122.01)

•SUP 3 -116.85 (Feb 3rd low)

•SUP4-115.85

COMMENTARY:

USD/JPY             is trading in narrow range. Overall trend is neutral and any bullishness can be seen only above 120.06 level.

The market awaits US GDP data and FOMC meeting which is to be released today. US GDP growth which is expected to be at 1.1% compared to 2.2% (Q4 2014). The decline in GDP growth was mainly due to strong dollar, oil             and weather. So FOMC is expected to maintain a cautious tone in its post meeting statement.

Short term bullish invalidation level-118.16. Any break below 118.16 will drag the pair further down till 116.85/115.90 in short term.

On the upside minor resistance is around 120.05 and any break above would extend gains till 120.81/121.18.

Indicator (4 hour chart)

CCI (50) - Sell

Woodies CCI (14) – Sell

Ichimoku- Sell

It is good to Sell on rallies around 119.35 for the target of 118.15 with stop around 119.85.
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