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Chris4XTrading
Jul 12, 2018 4:02 PM

6-Month USDJPY Break-Out Trading Plan. Long

U.S. Dollar/Japanese YenFXCM

Description

So here we go, the big break-out we've been waiting for - or is it? Let's assume that the USDJPY pair continues it's upwards march towards it's June 2015 high, we're then looking at 3-6 months worth of upwards movement and thousands of pips.

To enter such a series of trades, we need to start with a good entry zone. In this case, TA shows that somewhere back below the 111.000 region would be perfect, however this could also mean a total reversal of the "break-out" and resumption of the downwards trend.

Somewhere during the beginning of 2019, TA shows that we can expect an event to occur near the 38.2% weekly Fibo line. This may be a strong re-test of the support, or even a downwards breakout.

Expect TP's as high as 124.000 to 126.00 region. MANY updates to follow.

Comment

After Trump's rant on Thursday about the FED being wrong he seems to have triggered a good correction within the market. Congrats to everyone who caught that movement by the way.

We're now closer than ever to the buy zone.

Comment

4-hour Doji formed just underneath the Buy Zone line. Awaiting buy confirmation.

Trade active

Short-term buy now active.

Comment



TP: 112.200
SL: 110.250
Comments
sagekingdavid
Your Analysis is very constructive and educational. I appreciate the good work. Thanks for the enlightment.
Lyiness
The USD / JPY currency pair has been working on a rising wedge over the past approximately six weeks, moving closer to a trendline that has been flattening since 2015. Yesterday the pair broke out of the wedge and is currently trading above the 2015 trendline.

While the price is above the long-term trendline on a daily basis, a week-end above the trendline could do much to provide additional conviction over the three-year period. In a full breakthrough, USD / JPY should move towards the middle 114.00 / 115.00 JPY range. The preferred approach is to pay attention to dip opportunities

A return inside and below the bottom of the wedge and the trendline from the March low will negate the bullish outburst and potentially bring a strong downward move in the face of the false outbreak. Given the current strength, a low probability
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