is MXN attractive?...a contrarian view.

FX:USDMXN   U.S. Dollar / Mexican Peso
USDMXN seems to be moving within a downward channel for the last 6 months. Banxico's more proactive monetary policy (rate hikes) than most central banks, particularly in developed markets, have supported the Peso during this period with a few bouts of risk off, like the one of the last few days, that have pushed the cross close to the upper limit of the channel once again. Banxico is expected to continue to hike rates, while the market is also already pricing in over 300bps of hikes from the Fed in the next few months. If Powell does not deliver 75bps tomorrow (as the market fears) expect the Peso to rally once again towards the bottom of the channel as USDMXN currently looks overbought on most technical indicators....


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