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4xForecaster
Nov 4, 2014 11:13 AM

USDollar Index Scrapes Model's Target At 11218 | $USD #Forex Short

Dow Jones FXCM Dollar IndexFXCM

Description

PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING + PROP./ADV. PATTERN + TARGETS

Several technical tools point to probable reversal level. Applying predictive/forecasting model today with proprietary pattern overlay, all point to reversal at or near 11218. Prop pattern ("Great White") seeks resolution at an abysmal 9492.


1 - PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS/FORECASTING
-- TG-Hi = 11218 - 04


2 - Wave Redux:
-- A = 9740
-- 3 = 10323
-- A' = 10354
-- 3' = 11009


3 - PROP. PATTERN:
-- Great White = 9492 - 04 NOV 2014


4 - NON-PRICE FIELD;
-- Bearish Ghost Pattern completion


5 - ELLIOTT WAVE:
Cluster of 5th wave terminals line up per 1.414-to-1.618-Fib extensions into Model's TG-Hi level.


6 - OCCULT GEO:
Euclidean Module (pink vertical rectangle) repeats itself (see ghosted numerals 1 and 2). Also, their gap differential (marked as A) repeats itself above second module through gap height projection (marked as B), nearly hitting TG-Hi = 11218 nominal target.


OVERALL:
Very high-probability reversal at TG-Hi = 11218 per convergence of standard and discreet geometries.

- Look for Elliott Wave's Ending Diagonal conclusive geometry over next 3-5 weeks, unless aggressive bear market cheats the target of a few points (near-hit).
- Minimum of 38.2-Fib retracement for multi-year swing could represent first hindrance to long-term decline.


David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Denver, Colorado - USA

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Twitter: @4xForecaster
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NOTE - I have included a few charts in TradingView's "Link To Related Ideas" illustrating instances where the standard analyses were used as a background to predictive/forecasting model and occult market geometry applications - Thank you for your supportive readership and kind support - David.
Comments
alex.a
Whenever USD dollar hit this level, it went down that level of 4xCaster. But at that time, I have no idea what kind of funda was playing 2012 June, July to bring up USD this level was very tough and long way ~ But, technically, when USD hit this level, one big swing is down there ~
alex.a
alex.a
unlike 4xcaster,I don't think it will break the 78.74. Due to the duration, DXY hovering around... So, higher possibilities going down
alex.a
politically, newly elected Republicans wont let any positive US economy be executed for the people. They won't let. So, perhaps, now FED is all alone to handle. Not good ~
4xForecaster
Hi, @timwest - Let me think about it. I am not sure whether I can do all this, though. For now, I keep the records by capturing charts and archiving them - David
timwest
Hi David, I deleted my comment so as not to cause any more distraction. Higher level thinking isn't for everyone. Meaning, your work is valuable and I want to follow it but I find I need a little memory jogger from time to time. I don't have a trading assistant and we are all here trying to help people make money (and help ourselves too). So, a little bit of organization and planning and we could really accelerate our profits and our marketing at the same time. Cheers. Tim
4xForecaster
Yes, I agree with your plan - I left a few messages in the MODs room to @admin looking into whether we could facilitate your proposed idea. I think that we can definitely look into an automated system too. Perhaps @ChrisMoody can help in the idea. Worth looking into - David
4xForecaster
04 NOV 2014 - Fundamental Note:

- Major Bank FX Positions Support USD Buoyancy:

Several major banks are taking LONG USD positions against most other major currencies. About 80% are S/T positioning, the rest are M/T. This plays against the directional bias of the analysis for the long-term outlook, but not if considering that most of these S/P institutional plays are over a distance that corresponds to the current gap-fill til TG-Hi - Worth looking for that moment when these same banks are reversing their USD bullish outlook.

David
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