In this chart, we're looking at a study I've revisited a few times in the past which has been playing out almost exactly. This is the USDT dominance chart or usdT.D which shows the inverse relationship of money flowing in and out of crypto and in and out of tether, which is an approximation for stablecoins.
See the previous studies for deeper explanation, but essentially as money is flowing out of bitcoin and crypto it's going into stable coins like tether and so we can see these extremes of this chart coinciding with the inverse extremes in bitcoin, and total market cap.
The different zones showing when the price of stable coins comes down to the lower trendlines since 2018 that has coincided with with market peaks.
Similarly, as stable coin, dominance pushes higher that coincides with money, leaving the crypto market and incorrect phases for bitcoin and the overall market.
So this has been an excellent approximation by taking the fractals from the 2022 cycle in Blue, overlaying it with 2025 market, and now in green showing the deepening of the bear market in 2022 coinciding very closely with 2026 right now.
Bottom line, this is following nearly exactly and shows we have likely another push higher on USDT.D which will inversely coincide with a deeper drop in the total market cap and fall in line with our bare flag targets on total market cap and bitcoin down to 50k range.
Let me know your thoughts and comments below.
See the previous studies for deeper explanation, but essentially as money is flowing out of bitcoin and crypto it's going into stable coins like tether and so we can see these extremes of this chart coinciding with the inverse extremes in bitcoin, and total market cap.
The different zones showing when the price of stable coins comes down to the lower trendlines since 2018 that has coincided with with market peaks.
Similarly, as stable coin, dominance pushes higher that coincides with money, leaving the crypto market and incorrect phases for bitcoin and the overall market.
So this has been an excellent approximation by taking the fractals from the 2022 cycle in Blue, overlaying it with 2025 market, and now in green showing the deepening of the bear market in 2022 coinciding very closely with 2026 right now.
Bottom line, this is following nearly exactly and shows we have likely another push higher on USDT.D which will inversely coincide with a deeper drop in the total market cap and fall in line with our bare flag targets on total market cap and bitcoin down to 50k range.
Let me know your thoughts and comments below.
25-year investor & trader, bought 1st BTC at $20
More information:
Work With Me 1:1
moonstreamcoaching.com
Trading Signals: CryptoMastery.org
M3 Active Trader: Moonstream.io/M3
More information:
Work With Me 1:1
moonstreamcoaching.com
Trading Signals: CryptoMastery.org
M3 Active Trader: Moonstream.io/M3
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
25-year investor & trader, bought 1st BTC at $20
More information:
Work With Me 1:1
moonstreamcoaching.com
Trading Signals: CryptoMastery.org
M3 Active Trader: Moonstream.io/M3
More information:
Work With Me 1:1
moonstreamcoaching.com
Trading Signals: CryptoMastery.org
M3 Active Trader: Moonstream.io/M3
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
