TradingView
UnknownUnicorn890690
Jun 11, 2018 12:59 PM

USD/TRY 1H Chart: Soon breakout from triangle 

U.S. Dollar/Turkish New LiraFXCM

Description

The US Dollar spiked significantly against the Turkish Lira late in May as a result of which it surged up to a many-year high of 4.90.

The rate has since edged lower and is now trading in a descending triangle—the upper boundary of this pattern is a downward-sloping trend-line drawn from the aforementioned spike, while support is provided by the 4.45 level. This triangle has reached its maturity; thus a breakout and a subsequent movement in this direction should soon follow.

Longer-term technical indicators are in favour of a fall within the following month, at least. During this time, the downside potential is apparent until the 100-day SMA and the monthly S1 at 4.10. In case of an upside breakout, the Greenback should target the yearly-high at 4.90.

It should be noted that the Turkish Lira is dependent heavily on fundamental aspects; thus, they should also be taken into account when designing a trading strategy.
Comments
Labi07
"In case of an upside breakout, the Greenback should target the yearly-high at 4.90"
Here's the breakout, I suppose.
UnknownUnicorn890690
@Labi07, Thank you for the comment, we will post an update on the pair tomorrow.
Labi07
@Dukascopy, Thanks for letting me know.
UnknownUnicorn890690
@Labi07, Here is an update on the pair:
More