USDTRY - the pleasure and pain will be mine.

FX:USDTRY   U.S. Dollar / Turkish Lira
USDTRY is a very tricky exotic pair to tackle. The exotics on the whole are erratic and offer may traps and false breakouts. This is a dangerous pair and not recommended for those without experience of exotics.

On this occasion I'm departing from my system of 'rules' because I'm dealing with such a wild 'animal'. I have experience of exotics doing false breakouts against my favoured direction. I'm not saying there is going to be one on this occasion, but I'm prepared for it.

I stand to take loss which is acceptable. Notably most Tradingview posts are about good news in terms of positive expectations (whether long or short); not about losing positions. This is not surprising, is it? There is an unconscious need to present mainly good positions. I'm breaking the mould. I'm not afraid to show that I can lose.

FED balance sheet 42% of GDP @ 2020-01-26. Does money have value anymore? [Different perspective on the virus ]